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Geopolitics
Geopolitics
All
Trump
Ukraine
Iran
Middle East
Israel
Russia
Foreign Policy
Strait of Hormuz
Iran Ceasefire
Nuclear
Oil
U.S. x Iran
Ukraine Map
Ukraine Peace Deal
China
NATO
putin
Hormuz
Negotiation Topics
North Korea
zelenskyy
Gaza
HFC
Israel x Iran
Lebanon
South Korea
Syria
Taiwan
Vance
Earn 4%
Khamenei
Military Strikes
Peace Deal
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Trump Presidency
Turkey
Abraham Accords
Argentina
Asia
Congress
crimea
Denmark
Diplomatic meeting
donestk
eu
Europe
Greenland
H-1B
Hegseth
Hezbollah
Immigration
India
India-Pakistan
Iran Regime
Kim Jong Un
Kushner
Maria Corina Machado
Maria Machado
Military Actions
Naval
nuclear deal
Pakistan
palestine
Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec
Reza Pahlavi
rubio
ships
somalia
Somaliland
tanker
Tariffs
Thailand-Cambodia
Trade War
transit
Trump Cabinet
Trump x al-Sharaa
Trump x Saudi
Trump-Machado
Trump-Netanyahu
Trump-Putin
United Kingdom
Uranium
US-Iran
Venezuela
Witkoff
xi jinping
Yemen
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?
21%
chance
Yes
No
$2k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
Dopropillia
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Druzkhivka
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
Kramatorsk
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Zaporizhia
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Sloviansk
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Sumy
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Kharkiv
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Kherson
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$1.3M Vol.
Annual
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$9k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Russia capture Kindrativka by...?
12%
chance
Yes
No
$5k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Russia enter Khatnie by...?
19%
chance
Yes
No
$167 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 30 8:00 PM ET
Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by...?
25%
chance
Yes
No
$2k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?
38%
chance
Yes
No
$3k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$53k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?
December 31
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
June 30
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$433k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.6M Vol.
Annual
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$2.1M Vol.
Annual
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$368k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
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