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Geopolitics
Geopolitics
All
Trump
Ukraine
Iran
Middle East
Israel
Russia
Foreign Policy
Strait of Hormuz
Iran Ceasefire
Nuclear
Oil
U.S. x Iran
Ukraine Map
Ukraine Peace Deal
China
NATO
putin
Hormuz
Negotiation Topics
North Korea
zelenskyy
Gaza
HFC
Israel x Iran
Lebanon
South Korea
Syria
Taiwan
Vance
Earn 4%
Khamenei
Military Strikes
Peace Deal
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Trump Presidency
Turkey
Abraham Accords
Argentina
Asia
Congress
crimea
Denmark
Diplomatic meeting
donestk
eu
Europe
Greenland
H-1B
Hegseth
Hezbollah
Immigration
India
India-Pakistan
Iran Regime
Kim Jong Un
Kushner
Maria Corina Machado
Maria Machado
Military Actions
Naval
nuclear deal
Pakistan
palestine
Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec
Reza Pahlavi
rubio
ships
somalia
Somaliland
tanker
Tariffs
Thailand-Cambodia
Trade War
transit
Trump Cabinet
Trump x al-Sharaa
Trump x Saudi
Trump-Machado
Trump-Netanyahu
Trump-Putin
United Kingdom
Uranium
US-Iran
Venezuela
Witkoff
xi jinping
Yemen
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?
50-74
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
25-49
—
Yes
—
No
—
<25
—
Yes
—
No
—
100+
—
Yes
—
No
—
75-99
—
Yes
—
No
—
$3 Vol.
Weekly
Ends Jun 21 3:59 PM ET
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
20+
55%
Yes
55%
No
45%
40+
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
60+
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
80+
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
$322k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 12:00 PM ET
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
0-10
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
20-40
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
40-60
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
10-20
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
60+
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
$60k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 12:00 PM ET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
0%
chance
Yes
No
$8.9M Vol.
Monthly
Ends 8:00 PM ET
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Bahrain
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
United States
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
UAE
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
Pakistan
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
India
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
France
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
Oman
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
Germany
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
South Korea
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Saudi Arabia
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Italy
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
United Kingdom
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Qatar
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Netherlands
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
Greece
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
Australia
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
Japan
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
Canada
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
Kuwait
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$747k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
August 31
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
July 31
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
June 30
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
June 24
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
$9.6M Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 30 7:55 PM ET
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
26%
chance
Yes
No
$302k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$7k Vol.
Annual
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$23k Vol.
Daily
Ends 8:00 PM ET
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
Oil Sanction Relief
69%
Yes
69%
No
31%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
53%
Yes
53%
No
47%
Troop Withdrawal
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Enrichment of Uranium
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$1.9M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
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