/

Geopolitics

Geopolitics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

37%

chance

NewMonthlyEnds Jul 14 8:00 PM ET

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

chance

$47k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

26%

chance

$302k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

45%

39%

33%

11%

5%

$50k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

81%

67%

46%

41%

36%

27%

21%

11%

3%

0%

$21.1M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

69%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

53%

Troop Withdrawal

40%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

6%

Enrichment of Uranium

6%

$1.9M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

No Meeting by June 30

45%

29%

13%

7%

5%

2%

1%

0%

0%

0%

Other - Middle East/North Africa

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

0%

$9.5M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

70%

56%

21%

14%

12%

8%

6%

2%

1%

$7.5M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 20 8:00 PM ET

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

29%

chance

$17k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

23%

chance

$2.7M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

52%

chance

$9.3M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET