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Geopolitics

Geopolitics

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

38%

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—

—

—

$3 Vol.WeeklyEnds Jun 21 3:59 PM ET

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

55%

33%

28%

17%

$322k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

39%

25%

18%

14%

12%

$60k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

0%

chance

$8.9M Vol.MonthlyEnds 8:00 PM ET

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

34%

32%

22%

20%

20%

12%

12%

10%

9%

9%

9%

9%

6%

5%

5%

5%

4%

3%

3%

$747k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

chance

$47k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

1%

chance

$2.9M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

8%

chance

$126k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

26%

chance

$302k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

2%

chance

$7k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

45%

39%

33%

11%

5%

$50k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

6%

chance

$23k Vol.DailyEnds 8:00 PM ET