AstraOdds

Geopolitics

Geopolitics

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?

3%
chance
YesNo
$83k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?

12%
chance
YesNo
$8k Vol.MonthlyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

3%
chance
YesNo
$114k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

1%
chance
YesNo
$2.9M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?

6%
chance
YesNo
$23k Vol.DailyEnds 8:00 PM ET
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

29%
chance
YesNo
$17k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

23%
chance
YesNo
$2.7M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

6%
chance
YesNo
$600k Vol.MonthlyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

1%
chance
YesNo
$55.4M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

52%
chance
YesNo
$9.3M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET