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Géopolitique

Géopolitique

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

48%

probabilité

$288k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jul 14 8:00 PM ET

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

5%

probabilité

$27k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

97%

97%

$136k Vol.DailyEnds 11:59 PM ET

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

3%

probabilité

$135k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

32%

probabilité

$371k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

80%

69%

57%

14%

13%

$58k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

92%

probabilité

$385k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jul 30 8:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

36%

probabilité

$58k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jul 30 8:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

85%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

65%

Troop Withdrawal

37%

Enrichment of Uranium

19%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

8%

$2.4M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

$10.5M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

94%

91%

84%

81%

41%

26%

6%

1%

$8.3M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 20 8:00 PM ET