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Géopolitique

Géopolitique

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

36%

33%

16%

14%

13%

$2k Vol.WeeklyEnds Jun 21 3:59 PM ET

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

80%

62%

36%

27%

$397k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

26%

20%

19%

17%

16%

$66k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

51%

44%

32%

31%

24%

24%

21%

20%

18%

11%

9%

9%

9%

6%

5%

5%

4%

3%

1%

$934k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

3%

probabilité

$47k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

1%

probabilité

$3.0M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

97%

97%

$136k Vol.DailyEnds 11:59 PM ET

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

3%

probabilité

$135k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

26%

probabilité

$388k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

2%

probabilité

$9k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

75%

74%

59%

14%

12%

$60k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

87%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

66%

Troop Withdrawal

53%

Enrichment of Uranium

31%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

28%

$2.6M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET