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Géopolitique

Géopolitique

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

79%

63%

39%

27%

$393k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

probabilité

$67k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

97%

97%

$136k Vol.DailyEnds 11:59 PM ET

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

86%

probabilité

$19k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

14%

probabilité

$9k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

2%

probabilité

$9k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

80%

69%

57%

14%

13%

$58k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

$112k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

$476k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

86%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

70%

Enrichment of Uranium

37%

Troop Withdrawal

30%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

16%

$2.4M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

$10.5M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

94%

92%

90%

81%

36%

19%

6%

1%

$8.4M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 20 8:00 PM ET