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Géopolitique

Géopolitique

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

13%

probabilité

$230k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?

1%

probabilité

$1.3M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT)

82%

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP)

18%

Taiwan People’s Party (TPP)

1%

$120k Vol.DailyEnds Nov 27 7:00 PM ET

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

11%

probabilité

$1.9M Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

0%

probabilité

$1.8M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET