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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
August 31
88%
Ja
88%
Nein
12%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
74%
Ja
74%
Nein
26%
Successful splash down?
74%
Ja
74%
Nein
26%
July 31
58%
Ja
58%
Nein
42%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
11%
Ja
11%
Nein
89%
June 30
3%
Ja
3%
Nein
97%
$15k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?
40%+
100%
Ja
100%
Nein
0%
50%+
23%
Ja
23%
Nein
77%
$5k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
14+
70%
Ja
70%
Nein
30%
13
17%
Ja
17%
Nein
83%
11
8%
Ja
8%
Nein
92%
12
8%
Ja
8%
Nein
92%
<11
8%
Ja
8%
Nein
92%
$16k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?
63%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$4k Vol.
Weekly
Ends Jun 17 8:00 PM ET
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
34%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$100k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
1%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$112k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
33%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$112k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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