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92
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27
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26
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24
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23
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19
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12
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Strait of Hormuz
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zelenskyy
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3
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South Korea
3
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3
Taiwan
3
Vance
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Earn 4%
2
Khamenei
2
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2
Peace Deal
2
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
2
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2
Turkey
2
Abraham Accords
1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
Maria Corina Machado
1
Maria Machado
1
Military Actions
1
Naval
1
nuclear deal
1
Pakistan
1
palestine
1
Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec
1
Reza Pahlavi
1
rubio
1
ships
1
somalia
1
Somaliland
1
tanker
1
Tariffs
1
Thailand-Cambodia
1
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1
transit
1
Trump Cabinet
1
Trump x al-Sharaa
1
Trump x Saudi
1
Trump-Machado
1
Trump-Netanyahu
1
Trump-Putin
1
United Kingdom
1
Uranium
1
US-Iran
1
Venezuela
1
Witkoff
1
xi jinping
1
Yemen
1
Geopolitik
Geopolitik
Alle
Trump
Ukraine
Iran
Middle East
Israel
Russia
Foreign Policy
Iran Ceasefire
Strait of Hormuz
Nuclear
Oil
U.S. x Iran
Ukraine Map
Ukraine Peace Deal
China
NATO
putin
Hormuz
Negotiation Topics
North Korea
zelenskyy
Gaza
HFC
Israel x Iran
Lebanon
South Korea
Syria
Taiwan
Vance
Earn 4%
Khamenei
Military Strikes
Peace Deal
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Trump Presidency
Turkey
Abraham Accords
Argentina
Asia
Congress
crimea
Denmark
Diplomatic meeting
donestk
eu
Europe
Greenland
H-1B
Hegseth
Hezbollah
Immigration
India
India-Pakistan
Iran Regime
Kim Jong Un
Kushner
Macro Geopolitics
Maria Corina Machado
Maria Machado
Military Actions
Naval
nuclear deal
Pakistan
palestine
Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec
Reza Pahlavi
rubio
ships
somalia
Somaliland
tanker
Tariffs
Thailand-Cambodia
Trade War
transit
Trump Cabinet
Trump x al-Sharaa
Trump x Saudi
Trump-Machado
Trump-Netanyahu
Trump-Putin
United Kingdom
Uranium
US-Iran
Venezuela
Witkoff
xi jinping
Yemen
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?
100+
33%
Ja
33%
Nein
67%
25-49
26%
Ja
26%
Nein
74%
50-74
14%
Ja
14%
Nein
86%
75-99
12%
Ja
12%
Nein
88%
<25
8%
Ja
8%
Nein
92%
$2k Vol.
Weekly
Ends Jun 21 3:59 PM ET
Will Russia enter Stavky by June 30?
25%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$2k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
20+
81%
Ja
81%
Nein
19%
40+
67%
Ja
67%
Nein
33%
60+
41%
Ja
41%
Nein
59%
80+
28%
Ja
28%
Nein
72%
$385k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 12:00 PM ET
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
0-10
25%
Ja
25%
Nein
75%
60+
24%
Ja
24%
Nein
76%
10-20
19%
Ja
19%
Nein
81%
40-60
16%
Ja
16%
Nein
84%
20-40
16%
Ja
16%
Nein
84%
$65k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 12:00 PM ET
Number of North Korea Missile Tests in June 2026?
<1
74%
Ja
74%
Nein
26%
1-2
17%
Ja
17%
Nein
83%
3+
10%
Ja
10%
Nein
90%
$6k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
United States
45%
Ja
45%
Nein
55%
Bahrain
42%
Ja
42%
Nein
58%
United Kingdom
23%
Ja
23%
Nein
77%
Pakistan
20%
Ja
20%
Nein
80%
UAE
20%
Ja
20%
Nein
80%
India
19%
Ja
19%
Nein
81%
France
18%
Ja
18%
Nein
82%
Qatar
17%
Ja
17%
Nein
83%
Italy
15%
Ja
15%
Nein
85%
Oman
11%
Ja
11%
Nein
89%
South Korea
9%
Ja
9%
Nein
91%
Saudi Arabia
9%
Ja
9%
Nein
91%
Germany
6%
Ja
6%
Nein
94%
Netherlands
6%
Ja
6%
Nein
94%
Australia
5%
Ja
5%
Nein
95%
Greece
4%
Ja
4%
Nein
96%
Japan
4%
Ja
4%
Nein
96%
Canada
3%
Ja
3%
Nein
97%
Kuwait
2%
Ja
2%
Nein
98%
$893k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
2%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$85k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
12%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$8k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
1%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$3.0M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Which cities will Russia enter by June 30?
Dopropillia
4%
Ja
4%
Nein
96%
Druzkhivka
2%
Ja
2%
Nein
98%
Sloviansk
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
Kramatorsk
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
Zaporizhia
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
Sumy
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
Kharkiv
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
Kherson
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
$1.3M Vol.
Annual
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Xi Jinping out by June 30?
0%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$3.4M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?
June 15
97%
Ja
97%
Nein
3%
June 14
97%
Ja
97%
Nein
3%
$136k Vol.
Daily
Ends 11:59 PM ET
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