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56
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13
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8
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7
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7
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5
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5
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4
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3
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2
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exhange rate
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interest rates
1
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1
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1
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1
jobs
1
macro
1
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1
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1
merger
1
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1
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1
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1
nonfarm payroll
1
Oil
1
Parlays
1
PBC
1
pboc
1
PMI
1
RBA
1
RBNZ
1
rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
1
Russia
1
Services
1
ships
1
Strait of Hormuz
1
TMTG
1
transit
1
Treasuries
1
UK
1
unemployment
1
USD
1
Wirtschaft
Wirtschaft
Alle
Economic Policy
Global Rates
Macro Indicators
Business
Fed Rates
GDP
Jerome Powell
Trump
Fed
CPI
Inflation
Big Tech
fomc
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
Argentina
Canada
China
Europe
Fiscal
Growth
Iran
Mexico
South Korea
Taxes
Acquisitions
AI
Australia
bank
Banxico
BOI
BOK
BOR
Brazil
Colombia
Core CPI
Crypto Legal
DeepSeek
dollar
Elon Musk
England
Ethereum
Euro Area
European Central Bank
Exchange Rate
exhange rate
forex
FX
Germany
Goods
Gov Reserve
Hormuz
Interest Rate
interest rates
ISM
Israel
Japan
jobs
macro
Macro Geopolitics
Macro Single
merger
Middle East
New Zealand
NFP
nonfarm payroll
Oil
Parlays
PBC
pboc
PMI
RBA
RBNZ
rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
Russia
Services
ships
Strait of Hormuz
TMTG
transit
Treasuries
UK
unemployment
USD
Core CPI YoY - June 2026
3.1%
39%
Ja
39%
Nein
61%
2.7%
37%
Ja
37%
Nein
63%
≥3.3%
28%
Ja
28%
Nein
72%
≤2.4%
23%
Ja
23%
Nein
77%
3.2%
13%
Ja
13%
Nein
87%
2.5%
13%
Ja
13%
Nein
87%
2.6%
11%
Ja
11%
Nein
89%
2.8%
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
3.0%
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
2.9%
—
Ja
—
Nein
—
$542 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 14 11:59 PM ET
June Inflation US - Monthly
≤0.1%
88%
Ja
88%
Nein
12%
0.2%
6%
Ja
6%
Nein
94%
0.6%
5%
Ja
5%
Nein
95%
0.4%
5%
Ja
5%
Nein
95%
0.3%
4%
Ja
4%
Nein
96%
0.8%
4%
Ja
4%
Nein
96%
0.7%
2%
Ja
2%
Nein
98%
≥0.9%
2%
Ja
2%
Nein
98%
0.5%
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
$3k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 14 11:59 PM ET
June Inflation US - Annual
3.8%
38%
Ja
38%
Nein
62%
3.9%
30%
Ja
30%
Nein
70%
3.7%
24%
Ja
24%
Nein
76%
4.0%
8%
Ja
8%
Nein
92%
4.1%
4%
Ja
4%
Nein
96%
4.2%
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
4.3%
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
≤3.6%
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
4.4%
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
≥4.7%
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
4.6%
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
4.5%
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
$186k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 14 11:59 PM ET
ISM Manufacturing PMI - June 2026
53.0–53.9
49%
Ja
49%
Nein
51%
48.0–48.9
43%
Ja
43%
Nein
57%
49.0–49.9
43%
Ja
43%
Nein
57%
<48.0
40%
Ja
40%
Nein
60%
55.0–55.9
30%
Ja
30%
Nein
70%
52.0–52.9
30%
Ja
30%
Nein
70%
56.0+
30%
Ja
30%
Nein
70%
54.0–54.9
28%
Ja
28%
Nein
72%
50.0–50.9
28%
Ja
28%
Nein
72%
51.0–51.9
26%
Ja
26%
Nein
74%
$192 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 1 2:00 AM ET
How many jobs added in June?
50k – 100k
28%
Ja
28%
Nein
72%
0 – 50k
23%
Ja
23%
Nein
77%
200k+
22%
Ja
22%
Nein
78%
100k – 150k
18%
Ja
18%
Nein
82%
<0
12%
Ja
12%
Nein
88%
150k – 200k
9%
Ja
9%
Nein
91%
$3k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 2 11:59 PM ET
June Unemployment Rate
4.3%
34%
Ja
34%
Nein
66%
4.4%
29%
Ja
29%
Nein
71%
4.6%
22%
Ja
22%
Nein
78%
4.2%
16%
Ja
16%
Nein
84%
4.1%
9%
Ja
9%
Nein
91%
4.5%
7%
Ja
7%
Nein
93%
4.0%
5%
Ja
5%
Nein
95%
≥4.7%
3%
Ja
3%
Nein
97%
≤3.9%
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
$1k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 2 4:30 AM ET
People's Bank of China rate change in June?
No Change
99%
Ja
99%
Nein
1%
Decrease
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
Increase
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
$892 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 11:59 AM ET
Durable Goods Orders MoM - May 2026
<-4%
33%
Ja
33%
Nein
67%
-4%– -2%
25%
Ja
25%
Nein
75%
-2%– 0%
10%
Ja
10%
Nein
90%
2%–4%
10%
Ja
10%
Nein
90%
0%–2%
9%
Ja
9%
Nein
91%
6%-8%
6%
Ja
6%
Nein
94%
4%–6%
5%
Ja
5%
Nein
95%
8%+
5%
Ja
5%
Nein
95%
$45k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 25 2:00 AM ET
USD x Iranian rials End of June?
1.5-1.6M
44%
Ja
44%
Nein
56%
<1.5M
25%
Ja
25%
Nein
75%
1.6-1.7M
12%
Ja
12%
Nein
88%
1.8-1.9M
6%
Ja
6%
Nein
94%
1.7-1.8M
6%
Ja
6%
Nein
94%
2.0M+
5%
Ja
5%
Nein
95%
1.9-2.0M
4%
Ja
4%
Nein
96%
$44k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Germany GDP growth in Q2 2026?
0.1-0.3%
52%
Ja
52%
Nein
48%
1.3%+
41%
Ja
41%
Nein
59%
1.0-1.2%
41%
Ja
41%
Nein
59%
0.4-0.6%
41%
Ja
41%
Nein
59%
0.7-0.9%
39%
Ja
39%
Nein
61%
≤0.0%
25%
Ja
25%
Nein
75%
$623 Vol.
Annual
Ends Jul 30 2:00 AM ET
Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026
2.0%+
40%
Ja
40%
Nein
60%
0.8-1.1%
35%
Ja
35%
Nein
65%
0.4-0.7%
35%
Ja
35%
Nein
65%
<0.0%
15%
Ja
15%
Nein
85%
0.0-0.3%
13%
Ja
13%
Nein
87%
1.6-1.9%
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
1.2-1.5%
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
$1k Vol.
Annual
Ends Jul 30 2:00 AM ET
Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026?
-0.5-0.0%
49%
Ja
49%
Nein
51%
2.5%+
46%
Ja
46%
Nein
54%
1.0-1.5%
44%
Ja
44%
Nein
56%
<-0.5%
40%
Ja
40%
Nein
60%
0.0-0.5%
38%
Ja
38%
Nein
62%
2.0-2.5%
36%
Ja
36%
Nein
64%
0.5-1.0%
26%
Ja
26%
Nein
74%
1.5-2.0%
11%
Ja
11%
Nein
89%
$525 Vol.
Annual
Ends Jul 30 2:00 AM ET
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