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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13
August 31
88%
Ja
88%
Nein
12%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
77%
Ja
77%
Nein
23%
Successful splash down?
74%
Ja
74%
Nein
26%
July 31
57%
Ja
57%
Nein
43%
Chopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
11%
Ja
11%
Nein
89%
June 30
3%
Ja
3%
Nein
97%
$16k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
How many SpaceX launches in June 2026?
14+
70%
Ja
70%
Nein
30%
13
18%
Ja
18%
Nein
82%
11
8%
Ja
8%
Nein
92%
12
8%
Ja
8%
Nein
92%
<11
5%
Ja
5%
Nein
95%
$16k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Elon Musk Net Worth on June 30?
800b+
99%
Ja
99%
Nein
1%
780-800b
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
720-740b
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
740-760b
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
760-780b
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
700-720b
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
660-680b
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
680-700b
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
<660b
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
$51k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
7%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$4k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
6%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$1.0M Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
18%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$9k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Another Elon baby by June 30?
4%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$57k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
450k–475k
45%
Ja
45%
Nein
55%
425k–450k
28%
Ja
28%
Nein
72%
475k+
19%
Ja
19%
Nein
81%
400k–425k
6%
Ja
6%
Nein
94%
350k–375k
5%
Ja
5%
Nein
95%
375k–400k
4%
Ja
4%
Nein
96%
325k–350k
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
<300k
1%
Ja
1%
Nein
99%
300k–325k
0%
Ja
0%
Nein
100%
$72k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
1%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$857k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
3%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$108k Vol.
Annual
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
33%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$112k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027?
7%
Chance
Ja
Nein
$16k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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