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Geopolitik

Geopolitik

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

31%

23%

16%

13%

9%

$2k Vol.WeeklyEnds Jun 21 3:59 PM ET

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

80%

66%

43%

27%

$386k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

26%

24%

19%

16%

16%

$65k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

63%

39%

22%

22%

20%

19%

18%

18%

14%

11%

10%

9%

5%

5%

5%

5%

3%

2%

1%

$908k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

7%

4%

1%

1%

$10.3M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 30 7:55 PM ET

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

32%

Chance

$371k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

2%

Chance

$9k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

85%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

65%

Troop Withdrawal

37%

Enrichment of Uranium

19%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

8%

$2.4M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

100%

Chance

$6.1M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

31%

Chance

$23.0M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET