/

Geopolitik

Geopolitik

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

31%

23%

16%

13%

9%

$2k Vol.WeeklyEnds Jun 21 3:59 PM ET

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

80%

66%

43%

27%

$386k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

26%

24%

19%

16%

16%

$65k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

63%

39%

22%

22%

20%

19%

18%

18%

14%

11%

10%

9%

5%

5%

5%

5%

3%

2%

1%

$908k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

10%

Chance

$92k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

86%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

66%

Troop Withdrawal

48%

Enrichment of Uranium

19%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

6%

$2.3M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

14%

4%

1%

0%

$1.5M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

31%

Chance

$23.0M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Crude Oil all time high by...?

Crude Oil all time high by...?

17%

9%

1%

$548k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET