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Geopolítica

Geopolítica

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

80%

66%

43%

27%

$386k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by...?

2%

probabilidade

$67k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

97%

97%

$136k Vol.DailyEnds 11:59 PM ET

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

86%

probabilidade

$19k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

14%

probabilidade

$9k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

1%

probabilidade

$9k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

81%

66%

57%

14%

13%

$58k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

$109k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

$458k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

86%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

66%

Troop Withdrawal

48%

Enrichment of Uranium

19%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

6%

$2.3M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

$10.4M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

94%

92%

83%

75%

37%

16%

4%

1%

$8.3M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 20 8:00 PM ET