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Geopolítica

Geopolítica

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

33%

31%

14%

13%

9%

$2k Vol.WeeklyEnds Jun 21 3:59 PM ET

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

79%

63%

39%

27%

$393k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

26%

20%

19%

16%

16%

$66k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

63%

40%

38%

23%

22%

20%

19%

18%

11%

9%

9%

8%

7%

6%

5%

5%

4%

3%

2%

$920k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

7%

3%

1%

1%

$10.4M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 30 7:55 PM ET

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

25%

probabilidade

$380k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

2%

probabilidade

$9k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

86%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

70%

Enrichment of Uranium

37%

Troop Withdrawal

30%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

16%

$2.4M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

Will Trump restart Project Freedom by...?

100%

probabilidade

$6.1M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

28%

probabilidade

$23.1M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET