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Geopolítica

Geopolítica

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of June 15?

31%

23%

16%

13%

9%

$2k Vol.WeeklyEnds Jun 21 3:59 PM ET

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?

80%

66%

43%

27%

$386k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?

26%

24%

19%

16%

16%

$65k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 30 12:00 PM ET

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

63%

39%

22%

22%

20%

19%

18%

18%

14%

11%

10%

9%

5%

5%

5%

5%

3%

2%

1%

$908k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

4%

probabilidade

$47k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

1%

probabilidade

$3.0M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?

97%

97%

$136k Vol.DailyEnds 11:59 PM ET

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

3%

probabilidade

$134k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

31%

probabilidade

$362k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?

1%

probabilidade

$9k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

81%

66%

57%

14%

13%

$58k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

86%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

66%

Troop Withdrawal

48%

Enrichment of Uranium

19%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

6%

$2.3M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET