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Economy
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All
Economic Policy
Global Rates
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Business
Fed Rates
GDP
Jerome Powell
Trump
Fed
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Inflation
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fomc
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Argentina
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AI
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bank
Banxico
BOI
BOK
BOR
Brazil
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Core CPI
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dollar
Elon Musk
England
Ethereum
Euro Area
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Exchange Rate
exhange rate
forex
FX
Germany
Goods
Gov Reserve
Hormuz
Interest Rate
interest rates
ISM
Israel
Japan
jobs
macro
Macro Single
merger
Middle East
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NFP
nonfarm payroll
Oil
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pboc
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RBA
RBNZ
rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
Russia
Services
ships
Strait of Hormuz
TMTG
transit
Treasuries
UK
unemployment
USD
June Unemployment Rate
4.3%
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
4.4%
26%
Yes
26%
No
74%
4.0%
23%
Yes
23%
No
77%
4.2%
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
4.1%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
4.5%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
4.6%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
≥4.7%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
≤3.9%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$945 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 2 4:30 AM ET
US economic state at the end of 2026?
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
49%
Yes
49%
No
51%
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
$4k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jan 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$7k Vol.
Daily
Ends Feb 14 7:00 PM ET
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