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Economic Policy
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5
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4
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3
Rewards 20, 4.5, 50
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Argentina
2
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2
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2
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1
rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
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1
Economy
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All
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Global Rates
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Business
Fed Rates
GDP
Jerome Powell
Trump
Fed
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Inflation
Big Tech
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Argentina
Canada
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Acquisitions
AI
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bank
Banxico
BOI
BOK
BOR
Brazil
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dollar
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England
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Euro Area
European Central Bank
Exchange Rate
exhange rate
forex
FX
Germany
Goods
Gov Reserve
Hormuz
Interest Rate
interest rates
ISM
Israel
Japan
jobs
macro
Macro Single
merger
Middle East
New Zealand
NFP
nonfarm payroll
Oil
Parlays
PBC
pboc
PMI
RBA
RBNZ
rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
Russia
Services
ships
Strait of Hormuz
TMTG
transit
Treasuries
UK
unemployment
USD
Core CPI YoY - June 2026
2.7%
42%
Yes
42%
No
58%
3.1%
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
≤2.4%
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
2.6%
29%
Yes
29%
No
71%
≥3.3%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
3.2%
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
2.5%
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
2.8%
—
Yes
—
No
—
3.0%
—
Yes
—
No
—
2.9%
—
Yes
—
No
—
$518 Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 14 11:59 PM ET
June Inflation US - Monthly
≤0.1%
87%
Yes
87%
No
13%
0.2%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
0.4%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
0.8%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
0.6%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
0.3%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
0.7%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
≥0.9%
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
0.5%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$2k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 14 11:59 PM ET
June Inflation US - Annual
3.8%
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
3.9%
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
3.7%
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
4.0%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
4.1%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
4.3%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
4.2%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
≥4.7%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
≤3.6%
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
4.5%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
4.4%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
4.6%
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$129k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 14 11:59 PM ET
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$7.000+
76%
Yes
76%
No
24%
$8.000+
60%
Yes
60%
No
40%
$9.000+
46%
Yes
46%
No
54%
$10.000+
32%
Yes
32%
No
68%
$20k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Argentina Annual Inflation 2026
30.0-34.9%
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
<20%
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
25-29.9%
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
35–39.9%
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
20-24.9%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
40-44.9%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
45%+
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$11k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jan 9 7:00 PM ET
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5%
51%
Yes
51%
No
49%
<-1.0%
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
0.6 – 1.0%
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
1.6 – 2.0%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
2.5%+
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
-0.9 – -0.5%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
0.1 – 0.5%
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
2.0-2.4%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
$44k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jan 9 7:00 PM ET
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
1.5–1.9%
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
2.5–2.9%
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
3.5-3.9%
36%
Yes
36%
No
64%
<1.0%
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
3.0-3.4%
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
2.0–2.4%
20%
Yes
20%
No
80%
1.0–1.4%
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
4.0%+
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$16k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jan 17 7:00 PM ET
How high will inflation get in 2026?
Above 4.5%
38%
Yes
38%
No
62%
Above 5%
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
Above 6%
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
Above 8%
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
Above 10%
4%
Yes
4%
No
96%
$474k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Fed rate hike by...?
October Meeting
34%
Yes
34%
No
66%
September Meeting
25%
Yes
25%
No
75%
July Meeting
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
June Meeting
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$41k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 8 7:00 PM ET
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