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地缘政治

地缘政治

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

48%

概率

$295k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jul 14 8:00 PM ET

阿巴斯·阿拉格奇 (Abbas Araghchi) 因...被解除伊朗外交部长职务？

阿巴斯·阿拉格奇 (Abbas Araghchi) 因...被解除伊朗外交部长职务？

5%

概率

$27k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

美国宣布美国与伊朗签署协议的地点或日期……？

美国宣布美国与伊朗签署协议的地点或日期……？

97%

97%

$136k Vol.DailyEnds 11:59 PM ET

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

3%

概率

$135k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?

25%

概率

$380k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

Who will meet with Iran by June 30?

80%

69%

57%

14%

13%

$58k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

92%

概率

$385k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jul 30 8:00 PM ET

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

50%

概率

$59k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jul 30 8:00 PM ET

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?

Oil Sanction Relief

86%

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

70%

Enrichment of Uranium

37%

Troop Withdrawal

30%

Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz

16%

$2.4M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

下一次美伊外交会议将在哪里举行？

下一次美伊外交会议将在哪里举行？

$10.5M Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

美国与伊朗的外交会议……？

美国与伊朗的外交会议……？

94%

92%

90%

81%

36%

19%

6%

1%

$8.4M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 20 8:00 PM ET