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Iran coup attempt by June 30?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$1.8M Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$718k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
23%
chance
Yes
No
$2.7M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$600k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$55.4M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
52%
chance
Yes
No
$9.3M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
43%
Yes
43%
No
57%
5
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
6
9%
Yes
9%
No
91%
7
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
10
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
8
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
9
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
11
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
13
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
15+
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
12
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
14
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$4.7M Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Iran Nuke before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$927k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?
14%
chance
Yes
No
$59k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$207k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?
13%
chance
Yes
No
$80k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Somaliland
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
Egypt
28%
Yes
28%
No
72%
Jordan
18%
Yes
18%
No
82%
Lebanon
17%
Yes
17%
No
83%
Pakistan
16%
Yes
16%
No
84%
Qatar
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Kuwait
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
Azerbaijan
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
Turkey
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
Saudi Arabia
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
Oman
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Syria
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$716k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
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