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US government rescinds Claude Fable 5 foreigner ban by…?
June 30
42%
Yes
42%
No
58%
June 15
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$978 Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 30 11:59 PM ET
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
September 30
69%
Yes
69%
No
31%
August 31
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
July 31
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
$10k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Sep 29 8:00 PM ET
Claude Code Commits End of June?
750.0k+
41%
Yes
41%
No
59%
650.0-700.0k
27%
Yes
27%
No
73%
700.0-750.0k
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
500.0-550.0k
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
600.0-650.0k
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
550.0-600.0k
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
<500.0k
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$4k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Claude go down on __ days in June?
6-8
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
9-11
31%
Yes
31%
No
69%
12+
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
3-5
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$10k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by June 30?
1550
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
1570
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
1560
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$11k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?
70%
Anthropic
Anthropic
OpenAI
$29k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jan 1 7:00 AM ET
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?
32%
chance
Yes
No
$131k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by June 30?
↑ $1.1T
30%
Yes
30%
No
70%
↓ $875B
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
↑ $1.25T
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
↑ $1.5T
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
↓ $800B
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
↑ $1.75T
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
↓ $850B
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
↓ $750B
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$293k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 1 8:00 AM ET
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
1.8T+
48%
Yes
48%
No
52%
1.2–1.5T
22%
Yes
22%
No
78%
1.5–1.8T
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
0.9–1.2T
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
0.6–0.9T
3%
Yes
3%
No
97%
<0.6T
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$157k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
45%+
46%
Yes
46%
No
54%
50%+
19%
Yes
19%
No
81%
55%+
10%
Yes
10%
No
90%
$222k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
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