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Trump
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Iran Ceasefire
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putin
Approval
Earn 4%
Gaza
Negotiation Topics
Strait of Hormuz
Trump Cabinet
Ukraine Map
zelenskyy
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Elon Musk
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Fiscal
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Taxes
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outage
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parliament
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pmqs
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Rewards 50, 4.5, 100 Deprec
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YouTube
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
37%
chance
Yes
No
New
Monthly
Ends Jul 14 8:00 PM ET
US announces location or date of US x Iran deal signing by...?
June 15
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
June 14
97%
Yes
97%
No
3%
$136k Vol.
Daily
Ends Tomorrow 11:59 PM ET
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
8%
chance
Yes
No
$126k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
26%
chance
Yes
No
$302k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Who will meet with Iran by June 30?
Jared Kushner
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
Steve Witkoff
39%
Yes
39%
No
61%
J.D. Vance
33%
Yes
33%
No
67%
Marco Rubio
11%
Yes
11%
No
89%
Donald Trump
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
$50k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?
67%
chance
Yes
No
$340k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 30 8:00 PM ET
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
38%
chance
Yes
No
$45k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jul 30 8:00 PM ET
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by June 30?
Oil Sanction Relief
69%
Yes
69%
No
31%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
53%
Yes
53%
No
47%
Troop Withdrawal
40%
Yes
40%
No
60%
Transit Fees in the Strait of Hormuz
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
Enrichment of Uranium
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
$1.9M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
No Meeting by June 30
45%
Yes
45%
No
55%
Pakistan
29%
Yes
29%
No
71%
Switzerland
13%
Yes
13%
No
87%
Qatar
7%
Yes
7%
No
93%
Other - Europe
5%
Yes
5%
No
95%
Austria
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
USA
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
Oman
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Egypt
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Turkey
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Other - Middle East/North Africa
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Other
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Italy
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Iran
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Iraq
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Saudi Arabia
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
UAE
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Kazakhstan
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
Russia
0%
Yes
0%
No
100%
$9.5M Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
July 31
70%
Yes
70%
No
30%
June 30
56%
Yes
56%
No
44%
June 21
21%
Yes
21%
No
79%
June 19
14%
Yes
14%
No
86%
June 18
12%
Yes
12%
No
88%
June 17
8%
Yes
8%
No
92%
June 16
6%
Yes
6%
No
94%
June 15
2%
Yes
2%
No
98%
June 14
1%
Yes
1%
No
99%
$7.5M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 20 8:00 PM ET
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