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Monde

Monde

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

9%

probabilité

$156k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

9%

probabilité

$52k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

30%

28%

16%

10%

6%

3%

2%

1%

$760k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

11%

probabilité

$1.9M Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

8%

probabilité

$207k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?

5%

probabilité

$57k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

5%

probabilité

$1.2M Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

14%

probabilité

$114k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

95%

probabilité

$2.3M Vol.MonthlyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

100%

88%

60%

50%

40%

38%

38%

32%

31%

31%

31%

30%

23%

20%

16%

15%

14%

13%

13%

12%

12%

3%

$303k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

NATO article 5 before 2027?

NATO article 5 before 2027?

9%

probabilité

$91k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

27%

probabilité

$2.2M Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET