/

Politique

Politique

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

Will Netanyahu publicly insult Trump by June 30?

4%

probabilité

$2k Vol.DailyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?

2%

probabilité

$62k Vol.AnnualEnds Jun 30 8:00 AM ET

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

27%

probabilité

$17k Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

6%

probabilité

$600k Vol.MonthlyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

1%

probabilité

$55.0M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

63%

probabilité

$9.0M Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

1%

0%

$434k Vol.MonthlyEnds Jun 29 8:00 PM ET

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

9%

probabilité

$52k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

43%

36%

8%

2%

2%

2%

1%

1%

1%

0%

0%

0%

$4.7M Vol.DailyEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

14%

probabilité

$59k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

13%

probabilité

$80k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

13%

probabilité

$51k Vol.AnnualEnds Dec 30 7:00 PM ET