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1
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Économie
Économie
Tous
Economic Policy
Global Rates
Macro Indicators
Business
Fed Rates
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Trump
Fed
CPI
Inflation
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Argentina
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Banxico
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rewards 200, 4.5, 20 Deprec
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ships
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TMTG
transit
Treasuries
UK
unemployment
USD
US bank failure by June 30?
14%
probabilité
Oui
Non
$8k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Trump Media x TAE Technologies merger closed by June 30?
2%
probabilité
Oui
Non
$1k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
3rd largest company end of June?
Apple
65%
Oui
65%
Non
35%
Alphabet
28%
Oui
28%
Non
72%
NVIDIA
5%
Oui
5%
Non
95%
Microsoft
2%
Oui
2%
Non
98%
Amazon
2%
Oui
2%
Non
98%
Broadcom
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Tesla
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
Saudi Aramco
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
$77k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 12:00 PM ET
2nd largest company end of June?
Alphabet
65%
Oui
65%
Non
35%
Apple
32%
Oui
32%
Non
68%
NVIDIA
4%
Oui
4%
Non
96%
Saudi Aramco
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
Microsoft
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
Broadcom
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
Amazon
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
Tesla
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
$500k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 30 12:00 PM ET
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
1%
probabilité
Oui
Non
$112k Vol.
Daily
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
8%
probabilité
Oui
Non
$16k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Which banks will fail by June 30?
BMO
2%
Oui
2%
Non
98%
US Bank
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
KeyBank
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Truist
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Lloyds
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Deutsche Bank
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Santander
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
BNP Paribas
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Citigroup
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Scotiabank
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Bank of America
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Morgan Stanley
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
RBC
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
BNY
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Wells Fargo
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
JPMorgan Chase
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
HSBC
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
UBS
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
Goldman Sachs
1%
Oui
1%
Non
99%
$537k Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
8%
probabilité
Oui
Non
$106k Vol.
Annual
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
3.9%
39%
Oui
39%
Non
61%
3.7%
38%
Oui
38%
Non
62%
3.8%
38%
Oui
38%
Non
62%
3.6%
30%
Oui
30%
Non
70%
3.5%
24%
Oui
24%
Non
76%
3.0%
15%
Oui
15%
Non
85%
2.0%
8%
Oui
8%
Non
92%
1.0%
4%
Oui
4%
Non
96%
$185k Vol.
Daily
Ends Dec 30 7:00 PM ET
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
95%
Oui
95%
Non
5%
Alphabet
2%
Oui
2%
Non
98%
Apple
2%
Oui
2%
Non
98%
Microsoft
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
Saudi Aramco
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
Amazon
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
Tesla
0%
Oui
0%
Non
100%
$22.3M Vol.
Monthly
Ends Jun 29 8:00 PM ET
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